{"store":{"baseInfo":{"podcastTitle":"Critiques of EA","slug":"critiquesofea","podcastDescription":"An interview series exploring criticism of the Effective Altruism movement.","podcastLogo":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/imglogo/image-logo/15842124/unnamed_zv6s5r.png","podcastShareLogo":"https://d2bwo9zemjwxh5.cloudfront.net/image-logo/15842124/unnamed_zv6s5r_1200x628.jpg?s=aedef4a420788cc3cb7762259784997f&e=png","podcastUrl":"https://critiquesofea.podbean.com","podcastCanSearched":true,"feedUrl":"https://feed.podbean.com/critiquesofea/feed.xml","theme":"elegant","podcastDeepLink":"https://www.podbean.com/pw/pbblog-7g5eq-f1bb4c?from=usersite","removePodbeanBranding":"no","brandingLogo":null,"timeZone":{"timeZoneId":17,"gmtAdjustment":"GMT-04:00","useDaylightTime":1,"value":-4,"text":"(GMT-04:00) Atlantic Time (Canada)","daylightStartTime":"Second Sunday Of March +2 Hours","daylightEndTime":"First Sunday Of November +2 Hours","timezone":"America/Halifax"},"podcastDownloads":null,"totalEpisodes":4,"showComments":true,"iOSAppDownloadLink":null,"customizeCssUrl":null,"androidAppDownloadLink":null,"showPostShare":true,"showLike":true,"author":"Nick Anyos","enableEngagementStats":true,"shareEmbedLink":"https://admin5.podbean.com/embed.html?id=pbblog-7g5eq-f1bb4c-playlist","language":"en","sensitivitySessionExpireTime":3600,"podcastApps":[{"name":"Apple Podcasts","link":"https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/critiques-of-ea/id1670233718","image":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1/site/images/admin5/apple-podcast.png","title":null},{"name":"Podbean App","link":"https://www.podbean.com/pw/pbblog-7g5eq-f1bb4c?from=usersite","image":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1/site/images/admin5/podbean-app.png","title":null},{"name":"Spotify","link":"https://open.spotify.com/show/4yeh3Xj4SIKhw9Tfkz9wVO","image":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1/site/images/admin5/spotify.png","title":null}],"components":{"base":[{"id":"MainStyle","val":"light"},{"id":"Font","val":"Avenir"},{"id":"SecondaryFont","val":"Avenir"},{"id":"PlayerColor","val":"#8fc31f"},{"id":"PlayerStyle","val":"player1"},{"id":"PlayerWave","val":"show"},{"id":"Favicon","val":"https://mcdn.podbean.com/mf/web/cquju9/ea_podcast_logo.png"},{"id":"CookiesNotice","val":"hide"},{"id":"CookiesNoticeContent","val":"

Cookies Notice

This website uses cookies to improve your experience while you navigate through the website. By using our website you agree to our use of cookies.

"}],"home-header":[{"id":"HomeHeaderTextColor","val":"#000000"},{"id":"HomeHeaderBackgroundColor","val":"#ffffff"}],"page-header":[{"id":"PageHeaderTextColor","val":"#ffffff"},{"id":"PageHeaderBackgroundColor","val":"#868686"}],"episode-list":[{"id":"EpisodeListType","val":"list"},{"id":"EpisodesPerPage","val":10},{"id":"EpisodeStats","val":"show"}],"navigation":[{"id":"NavigationFontColor","val":"#000000"},{"id":"NavigationBackgroundColor","val":"#e9e9e9"},{"id":"NavigationSearch","val":"show"},{"id":"NavigationLinks","val":[{"id":"Home","type":"Link","value":"/","text":"Home","subitems":[]},{"id":"Subscribe","type":"Link","value":"https://www.podbean.com/site/podcatcher/index/blog/KkwXblFYAfpw","text":"Subscribe","subitems":[]},{"id":"Profile","type":"Link","value":"https://www.podbean.com/user-9EWKdlS07ul1","text":"Profile","subitems":[]}]}],"footer":[{"id":"FooterType","val":"Footer2"},{"id":"FooterFontColor","val":"#ffffff"},{"id":"FooterBackgroundColor","val":"#000000"},{"id":"FooterCopyright","val":"Copyright 2023 All rights reserved."},{"id":"SocialMediaLinks","val":{"facebook_username":"","twitter_username":"","instagram_username":"","youtube_username":"","linkedin_username":""}}],"customize-container1":[],"customize-container2":[]},"allLinks":[],"mainStylesDefaultSettings":null,"defaultCustomizeComponents":null,"scripts":[],"metas":null,"appConfig":{"package":"com.podbean.app.podcast","app_store_id":973361050,"app_name":"Podbean","scheme":"podbean"},"customizeCss":null,"canEditCss":null,"enableJsCodeInCustomizeContent":false,"enabledIframeCodeInCustomizeContent":true,"sectionMaxCount":10,"enableEditorLink":true,"enableEditCookiesNotice":true,"siteRedirectToFeed":false,"podcatcherRssUrl":null,"showFeed":true,"showTopBar":true,"enableWebSiteLike":true,"organizationName":null,"organizationPageLink":null},"backToListUrl":"/","tinymceLoaded":false,"listEpisodes":[],"userLikedEpisodes":[],"userLikeCheckedEpisodes":[],"topBarIframeLoaded":false,"listTotalCount":0,"listTotalPage":0,"listPage":0,"listType":"all","listValue":"","listName":"","pageLoading":false,"apiBaseUrl":"https://critiquesofea.podbean.com","apiCommonParams":{"t":"6869fa60","clientSignature":"a46ab89094a528bd92b747039b639ea1","u":null,"customizing":null},"apiCommonHeaders":{},"comments":[],"commentsTotalCount":0,"commentsTotalPage":0,"commentsPage":1,"commentEpisodeId":"pb20430306-rcadu","episode":{"id":"pb20430306","idTag":"rcadu","title":"Expected Value and Critical Rationalism with Vaden Masrani and Ben Chugg","logo":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/imglogo/image-logo/15842124/unnamed_zv6s5r_300x300.png","shareLogo":"https://d2bwo9zemjwxh5.cloudfront.net/image-logo/15842124/unnamed_zv6s5r_1200x628.jpg?s=aedef4a420788cc3cb7762259784997f&e=png","largeLogo":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/imglogo/image-logo/15842124/unnamed_zv6s5r.png","previewContent":null,"content":"

Vaden and Ben, hosts of the podcast Increments, join Nick for a heated debate friendly discussion on the expected value/subjective probability style of reasoning used in the EA community, their alternative approach of critical rationalism, and how this disagreement effects the EA project of trying to do the most good.

Episode transcript.

Anonymous feedback form.

Other Links:

Increments, Vaden and Ben's podcast
The Bayesian Mindset by Holden Karnofsky
Philosophy and the practice of Bayesian statistics by Andrew Gelman and Cosma Shalizi
Data on forecasting accuracy across different time horizons and levels of forecaster experience
Our guests:\n
- Vaden's personal website
- Ben's personal website

","publishTimestamp":1675388928,"duration":7276,"mediaUrl":"https://mcdn.podbean.com/mf/web/yuq6gx/VadenandBen.mp3","mediaType":"audio/mpeg","shareLink":"https://admin5.podbean.com/embed.html?id=pb-rcadu-137bde2","likedCount":0,"deepLink":"https://www.podbean.com/ew/pb-rcadu-137bde2","transcriptUrl":"https://mcdn.podbean.com/mf/web/wp33pi/transcript_83EU2NIOG.srt","permalink":"/e/expected-value-and-critical-rationalism-with-vaden-masrani-and-ben-chugg/","downloadLink":"https://www.podbean.com/media/share/pb-rcadu-137bde2?download=1","fallbackResource":null,"fallbackResourceMimetype":null,"downloadCount":188,"status":"publish","hasMoreContent":false,"chaptersUrl":null,"explicit":false},"episodeShareLink":null,"deepLink":"https://www.podbean.com/ew/pb-rcadu-137bde2","playlist":{"episodes":[],"current":0,"start":0,"stop":0,"playing":true,"playerLoading":true,"playbackRate":1,"playbackRateIndex":1},"toasts":[],"confirm":null,"customizeEditorFormZIndex":999,"lastRequestTime":null,"validateChangesOnBeforeunload":true,"windowWidth":1000,"VITE_FS1_CDN_URL_PREFIX":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1","reloadStats":false,"userIdEncrypted":null,"userProfilePicture":null,"username":null,"isVerified":false,"loadUserInfo":false,"loginUrl":"https://www.podbean.com/site/user/login?return=https%253A%252F%252Fcritiquesofea.podbean.com%252Fe%252Fexpected-value-and-critical-rationalism-with-vaden-masrani-and-ben-chugg%252F&rts=d4c3a57eda5dbe2545dfedddfdf971645b75ae76","recaptchaV3Loaded":false,"recaptchaV2Loaded":false,"likesLoaded":false,"commentLikeMap":{},"commentOffset":0},"episode":{"id":"pb20430306","idTag":"rcadu","title":"Expected Value and Critical Rationalism with Vaden Masrani and Ben Chugg","logo":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/imglogo/image-logo/15842124/unnamed_zv6s5r_300x300.png","shareLogo":"https://d2bwo9zemjwxh5.cloudfront.net/image-logo/15842124/unnamed_zv6s5r_1200x628.jpg?s=aedef4a420788cc3cb7762259784997f&e=png","largeLogo":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/imglogo/image-logo/15842124/unnamed_zv6s5r.png","previewContent":null,"content":"

Episode transcript.

Anonymous feedback form.